Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Toews wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Frost 50.6% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 20-9 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 86.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 97.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 95.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 92.1%
92.1%
7.9%
Toews
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
9
(29 meetings)
20
9
Toews
Frost
Last 10: Toews 8-2 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
8
5
Toews
Frost
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
2
Toews
Frost
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
7
2
Toews
Frost
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,079)
49.7% (3,652)
+7.5%
Power Play
63.3% (3,254)
55.4% (632)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
55.0% (40)
-1.4%
On power play, Toews has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,675).
Toews shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Home / Away
Toews
Frost
Home
59.7% (9,212)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
56.1% (8,962)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Toews
Frost
P1
58.6%
51.2%
P2
57.9%
51.3%
P3
57.3%
48.8%
OT
58.9%
64.9%
Final 5 min
58.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 00:55 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 05:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 11:35 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:22 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 13, 2023 | OT | 02:13 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |