Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 43 meetings). Toews wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Kadri 48.6% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 73-56 in 129 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 85.6%
Defensive zone
Toews 87.5%
Neutral zone
Toews 85.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
Toews
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
73
-
56
(129 meetings)
73
56
Toews
Kadri
Last 10: Toews 8-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
23
24
Toews
Kadri
47 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
23
16
Toews
Kadri
39 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
27
16
Toews
Kadri
43 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,079)
48.2% (12,537)
+9.0%
Power Play
63.3% (3,254)
53.0% (1,892)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
41.0% (293)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,675).
Toews shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,393).
Home / Away
Toews
Kadri
Home
59.7% (9,212)
49.1% (7,475)
Away
56.1% (8,962)
48.1% (7,250)
By Period
Toews
Kadri
P1
58.6%
49.2%
P2
57.9%
48.7%
P3
57.3%
48.0%
OT
58.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
58.2%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Kadri
34.0%▼
38.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 01:46 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 02:24 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 08:25 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 14:10 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 18:46 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 03:45 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |