Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Bonino 48.5% (+14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 89.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 65.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 83.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Toews
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Toews
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
48.1% (324)
+13.0%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
57.9% (38)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
44.3% (88)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Toews shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Toews
Bonino
Home
64.8% (560)
52.0% (244)
Away
60.6% (381)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Toews
Bonino
P1
62.3%
48.0%
P2
63.9%
42.9%
P3
62.8%
53.9%
OT
70.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
63.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |