Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 71.3% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.4% vs Suzuki 50.6% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 81.4%
Defensive zone
Toews 90.5%
Neutral zone
Toews 87.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Toews
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Toews
Suzuki
Last 6: Toews 5-1 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Suzuki
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (728)
51.3% (945)
+11.3%
Power Play
59.4% (143)
50.7% (282)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
40.3% (67)
+6.6%
On even strength, Toews has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Toews is 71.3% vs right-shot opponents (303).
Toews shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Toews
Suzuki
Home
61.1% (455)
51.0% (637)
Away
62.1% (448)
50.2% (657)
By Period
Toews
Suzuki
P1
59.7%
53.1%
P2
66.7%
47.4%
P3
58.4%
51.3%
OT
80.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
58.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2025 | OT | 03:40 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | OT | 01:20 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |