Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 71.3% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.4% vs Acciari 50.8% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 94.2%
Defensive zone
Acciari 63.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 84.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 91.8%
91.8%
8.2%
Toews
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Toews
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Acciari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Toews
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (728)
52.7% (313)
+9.9%
Power Play
59.4% (143)
33.3% (18)
+26.1%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
49.7% (195)
-2.8%
On power play, Toews has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Toews is 71.3% vs right-shot opponents (303).
Toews shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Toews
Acciari
Home
61.1% (455)
52.6% (291)
Away
62.1% (448)
48.9% (235)
By Period
Toews
Acciari
P1
59.7%
53.7%
P2
66.7%
51.1%
P3
58.4%
48.5%
OT
80.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
58.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 11:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |