Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Zacha 49.2% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 55.5%
Defensive zone
Zacha 54.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 56.5%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Toews
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Toews
Zacha
Last 10: Toews 6-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
5
Toews
Zacha
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
3
Toews
Zacha
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,079)
48.9% (5,156)
+8.3%
Power Play
63.3% (3,254)
55.7% (813)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
42.2% (557)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,675).
Toews shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Home / Away
Toews
Zacha
Home
59.7% (9,212)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
56.1% (8,962)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Toews
Zacha
P1
58.6%
49.9%
P2
57.9%
49.2%
P3
57.3%
48.2%
OT
58.9%
53.5%
Final 5 min
58.2%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:04 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 17:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 16:33 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 15:54 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 03:21 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 17:22 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 12:11 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 10:34 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 07:14 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 2 | 03:09 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |