Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 63.5% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Nash 51.7% (+6.9%)
Offensive zone
Toews 68.2%
Defensive zone
Nash 70.4%
Neutral zone
Nash 56.4%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Toews
Nash
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
54.1% (292)
+3.9%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
57.1% (7)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
45.9% (98)
+5.8%
On power play, Toews has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Toews is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (515).
Toews shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Toews
Nash
Home
59.3% (637)
56.3% (183)
Away
58.7% (699)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Toews
Nash
P1
61.5%
58.9%
P2
55.2%
51.0%
P3
60.0%
46.5%
OT
70.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
59.0%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%