Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Schremp shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Schremp 46.8% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 96.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 89.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 93.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 94.6%
94.6%
5.4%
Toews
Schremp
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Toews
Schremp
Last 6: Toews 5-1 Schremp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Schremp
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Schremp
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Schremp
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,079)
46.8% (410)
+10.4%
Power Play
63.3% (3,254)
44.9% (69)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
25.0% (4)
+28.6%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schremp shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,675).
Toews shoots left. Schremp is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Toews
Schremp
Home
59.7% (9,212)
48.3% (238)
Away
56.1% (8,962)
44.0% (248)
By Period
Toews
Schremp
P1
58.6%
54.1%
P2
57.9%
44.1%
P3
57.3%
41.5%
OT
58.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
58.2%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Schremp
40.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2011 | 3 | 03:01 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 3 | 00:38 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 2 | 16:53 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 2 | 09:29 | Neutral | Rob Schremp |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 2 | 06:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |