Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pelley on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Pelley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Pelley 51.0% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pelley 64.3%
Defensive zone
Pelley 87.3%
Neutral zone
Pelley 74.9%
Result
Rod Pelley favored at 77.2%
22.8%
77.2%
Toews
Pelley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Toews
Pelley
Last 7: Toews 2-5 Pelley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Pelley
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pelley
0
3
Toews
Pelley
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pelley
0
2
Toews
Pelley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,079)
51.4% (440)
+5.8%
Power Play
63.3% (3,254)
25.0% (8)
+38.3%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
50.8% (118)
+2.8%
On power play, Toews has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,675).
Toews shoots left. Pelley is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Toews
Pelley
Home
59.7% (9,212)
52.9% (221)
Away
56.1% (8,962)
50.1% (353)
By Period
Toews
Pelley
P1
58.6%
50.8%
P2
57.9%
49.3%
P3
57.3%
53.8%
OT
58.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 16:29 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 18:43 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |