Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Donato 44.7% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 91.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 97.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 96.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 95.7%
95.7%
4.3%
Toews
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Toews
Donato
Last 6: Toews 6-0 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Donato
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Donato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,079)
44.0% (1,218)
+13.2%
Power Play
63.3% (3,254)
46.0% (248)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
41.7% (12)
+11.9%
On power play, Toews has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,675).
Toews shoots left. Donato is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (909).
Home / Away
Toews
Donato
Home
59.7% (9,212)
47.2% (743)
Away
56.1% (8,962)
41.4% (735)
By Period
Toews
Donato
P1
58.6%
43.8%
P2
57.9%
44.9%
P3
57.3%
43.7%
OT
58.9%
70.0%
Final 5 min
58.2%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 16:11 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 10:05 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 18:11 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |