Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +18.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Greene on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 71.3% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.4% vs Greene 43.9% (+18.6%)
H2H factor
Greene leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Greene 64.7%
Defensive zone
Greene 83.6%
Neutral zone
Greene 84.2%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 79.7%
20.3%
79.7%
Toews
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Toews
Greene
Last 10: Toews 3-7 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Greene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greene
3
5
Toews
Greene
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greene
0
3
Toews
Greene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (728)
43.6% (512)
+19.0%
Power Play
59.4% (143)
46.8% (62)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
40.1% (167)
+6.8%
On even strength, Toews has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Toews is 71.3% vs right-shot opponents (303).
Toews shoots left. Greene is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Home / Away
Toews
Greene
Home
61.1% (455)
47.4% (382)
Away
62.1% (448)
38.4% (359)
By Period
Toews
Greene
P1
59.7%
46.8%
P2
66.7%
37.6%
P3
58.4%
45.2%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Greene
26.0%▼
34.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 04:55 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:56 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:14 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |