Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Greene on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Greene 43.7% (+15.1%)
H2H factor
Greene leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Greene 61.0%
Defensive zone
Greene 83.8%
Neutral zone
Greene 85.3%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 79.2%
20.8%
79.2%
Toews
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Toews
Greene
Last 10: Toews 3-7 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Greene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greene
3
5
Toews
Greene
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greene
0
3
Toews
Greene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,079)
43.2% (530)
+14.0%
Power Play
63.3% (3,254)
46.8% (62)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
40.1% (167)
+13.5%
On power play, Toews has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,498).
Toews shoots left. Greene is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (565).
Home / Away
Toews
Greene
Home
59.7% (9,212)
47.4% (382)
Away
56.1% (8,962)
38.2% (377)
By Period
Toews
Greene
P1
58.6%
46.1%
P2
57.9%
37.6%
P3
57.3%
45.2%
OT
58.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.2%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Greene
26.0%▼
34.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 04:55 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:56 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:14 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |