Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 71.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.4% vs Hartman 45.6% (+16.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 94.6%
Defensive zone
Toews 85.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 93.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 88.6%
88.6%
11.4%
Toews
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Toews
Hartman
Last 6: Toews 5-1 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (728)
45.1% (874)
+17.5%
Power Play
59.4% (143)
47.4% (95)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
37.5% (16)
+9.4%
On even strength, Toews has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Toews is 71.3% vs right-shot opponents (303).
Toews shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Toews
Hartman
Home
61.1% (455)
45.0% (515)
Away
62.1% (448)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Toews
Hartman
P1
59.7%
47.3%
P2
66.7%
40.1%
P3
58.4%
48.3%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 11:24 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 16:11 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |