Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings). Toews wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Hartman 45.4% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 19-10 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 98.0%
Defensive zone
Toews 94.5%
Neutral zone
Toews 96.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 96.1%
96.1%
3.9%
Toews
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
10
(29 meetings)
19
10
Toews
Hartman
Last 10: Toews 8-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
6
Toews
Hartman
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
10
3
Toews
Hartman
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
6
1
Toews
Hartman
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,079)
45.2% (4,279)
+12.0%
Power Play
63.3% (3,254)
47.3% (446)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
42.4% (262)
+11.2%
On power play, Toews has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,498).
Toews shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Home / Away
Toews
Hartman
Home
59.7% (9,212)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
56.1% (8,962)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
Toews
Hartman
P1
58.6%
46.1%
P2
57.9%
42.9%
P3
57.3%
46.7%
OT
58.9%
53.8%
Final 5 min
58.2%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 11:24 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 16:11 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 14:23 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 11:08 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 03:23 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |