Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Toews wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Strome 44.6% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 19-12 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 94.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 91.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 93.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 93.0%
93.0%
7.0%
Toews
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
12
(31 meetings)
19
12
Toews
Strome
Last 10: Toews 7-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
4
Toews
Strome
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
7
6
Toews
Strome
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
7
2
Toews
Strome
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,079)
44.2% (6,887)
+13.0%
Power Play
63.3% (3,254)
49.2% (855)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
41.5% (410)
+12.1%
On power play, Toews has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,498).
Toews shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,773).
Home / Away
Toews
Strome
Home
59.7% (9,212)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
56.1% (8,962)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Toews
Strome
P1
58.6%
43.9%
P2
57.9%
45.4%
P3
57.3%
44.4%
OT
58.9%
46.3%
Final 5 min
58.2%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:42 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 15:27 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 11:13 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 07:09 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 1 | 13:39 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |