Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 18 meetings). Toews wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Kuraly 50.4% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 29-16 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 99.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 70.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 95.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 91.1%
91.1%
8.9%
Toews
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
16
(45 meetings)
29
16
Toews
Kuraly
Last 10: Toews 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
14
4
Toews
Kuraly
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
8
Toews
Kuraly
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
12
4
Toews
Kuraly
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,079)
51.6% (5,161)
+5.6%
Power Play
63.3% (3,254)
56.4% (101)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
44.4% (1,091)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,675).
Toews shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Toews
Kuraly
Home
59.7% (9,212)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
56.1% (8,962)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Toews
Kuraly
P1
58.6%
51.2%
P2
57.9%
50.0%
P3
57.3%
50.2%
OT
58.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
58.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 13:50 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:24 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:03 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 18:23 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 11:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 17:33 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 07:34 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |