Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.4% vs Crosby 55.1% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 73.5%
Defensive zone
Crosby 68.3%
Neutral zone
Crosby 71.6%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Toews
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Toews
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Toews
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (728)
53.3% (1,025)
+9.3%
Power Play
59.4% (143)
64.7% (249)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
60.0% (15)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Toews shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Toews
Crosby
Home
61.1% (455)
56.9% (675)
Away
62.1% (448)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Toews
Crosby
P1
59.7%
55.1%
P2
66.7%
53.1%
P3
58.4%
58.5%
OT
80.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
58.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |