Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +17.0% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 71.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.4% vs Thompson 45.2% (+17.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 93.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 91.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 93.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 93.0%
93.0%
7.0%
Toews
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Toews
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (728)
44.6% (661)
+18.0%
Power Play
59.4% (143)
48.4% (95)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
33.3% (33)
+13.6%
On even strength, Toews has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Toews is 71.3% vs right-shot opponents (303).
Toews shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Toews
Thompson
Home
61.1% (455)
45.7% (411)
Away
62.1% (448)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Toews
Thompson
P1
59.7%
47.7%
P2
66.7%
45.7%
P3
58.4%
40.5%
OT
80.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
58.7%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 17:25 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:17 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |