Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.4% vs Blueger 48.1% (+14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 88.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 50.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 68.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Toews
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Toews
Blueger
Last 7: Toews 4-3 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Blueger
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Blueger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Blueger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (728)
49.4% (265)
+13.2%
Power Play
59.4% (143)
66.7% (9)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
34.0% (50)
+12.9%
On even strength, Toews has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Toews shoots left. Blueger is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Toews
Blueger
Home
61.1% (455)
49.8% (215)
Away
62.1% (448)
43.1% (109)
By Period
Toews
Blueger
P1
59.7%
46.4%
P2
66.7%
50.4%
P3
58.4%
44.8%
OT
80.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |