Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Washe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Washe 54.8% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 96.6%
Defensive zone
Toews 60.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 81.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 88.9%
88.9%
11.1%
Toews
Washe
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Toews
Washe
Last 6: Toews 5-1 Washe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Washe
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Washe
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Washe
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,079)
58.9% (258)
-1.7%
Power Play
63.3% (3,254)
100.0% (3)
-36.7%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
41.8% (55)
+11.8%
On power play, Washe has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Washe shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,675).
Toews shoots left. Washe is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Toews
Washe
Home
59.7% (9,212)
62.0% (129)
Away
56.1% (8,962)
52.4% (187)
By Period
Toews
Washe
P1
58.6%
58.0%
P2
57.9%
59.1%
P3
57.3%
53.7%
OT
58.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.2%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Washe
50.0%▼
57.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 19:38 | Neutral | Tim Washe |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 01:24 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |