Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 71.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.4% vs Dellandrea 51.9% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 85.8%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 71.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 67.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Toews
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Toews
Dellandrea
Last 5: Toews 3-2 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Dellandrea
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Dellandrea
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Dellandrea
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (728)
54.1% (355)
+8.5%
Power Play
59.4% (143)
53.8% (13)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
47.6% (143)
-0.7%
On even strength, Toews has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Toews is 71.3% vs right-shot opponents (303).
Toews shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Toews
Dellandrea
Home
61.1% (455)
54.3% (278)
Away
62.1% (448)
49.8% (233)
By Period
Toews
Dellandrea
P1
59.7%
54.2%
P2
66.7%
50.6%
P3
58.4%
51.8%
OT
80.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:42 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 10:54 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |