Jonathan Toews vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.4% vs Girgensons 46.8% (+16.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 78.4%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 77.2%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 56.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Toews
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Toews
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Girgensons
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Toews
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (728)
45.1% (164)
+17.5%
Power Play
59.4% (143)
50.0% (2)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
45.2% (31)
+1.7%
On even strength, Toews has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Toews shoots left. Girgensons is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Toews
Girgensons
Home
61.1% (455)
44.6% (92)
Away
62.1% (448)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Toews
Girgensons
P1
59.7%
44.2%
P2
66.7%
46.0%
P3
58.4%
45.1%
Final 5 min
58.7%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 17:59 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 07:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |