Jonny Brodzinski vs Sam Carrick
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodzinski on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Brodzinski wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodzinski 50.1% vs Carrick 52.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodzinski 76.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 80.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 63.2%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Brodzinski
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Brodzinski
Carrick
Last 5: Brodzinski 3-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodzinski
3
2
Brodzinski
Carrick
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodzinski
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (708)
52.2% (2,544)
-2.2%
Power Play
52.8% (53)
61.3% (75)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
50.8% (435)
-4.6%
On power play, Carrick has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Brodzinski is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Brodzinski shoots right. Carrick is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Home / Away
Brodzinski
Carrick
Home
50.5% (364)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
49.8% (410)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Brodzinski
Carrick
P1
47.8%
51.8%
P2
48.9%
52.3%
P3
53.7%
52.6%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodzinski
52.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 14:23 | Neutral | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 17:58 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |