Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Martinook on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 46.2% vs Martinook 44.9% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 69.4%
Defensive zone
Martinook 66.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 54.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Larkin
Martinook
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Larkin
Martinook
Last 5: Larkin 3-2 Martinook
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Martinook
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Martinook
1
2
Larkin
Martinook
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Martinook
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (391)
44.6% (818)
+0.9%
Power Play
41.4% (29)
47.1% (34)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
42.7% (185)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Martinook shoots left. Larkin is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Larkin shoots left. Martinook is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Home / Away
Larkin
Martinook
Home
47.0% (181)
48.1% (561)
Away
44.2% (251)
39.9% (476)
By Period
Larkin
Martinook
P1
42.7%
46.6%
P2
52.4%
46.4%
P3
41.8%
40.6%
OT
20.0%
38.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
38.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.4%
Martinook
48.0%▬
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 03:52 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Martinook |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 05:48 | Neutral | Jordan Martinook |