Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Martinook on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Martinook wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Martinook 45.5% vs Nash 48.5% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Martinook 54.2%
Defensive zone
Martinook 52.5%
Neutral zone
Martinook 52.6%
Result
Jordan Martinook favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Martinook
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Martinook
Nash
Last 9: Martinook 4-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Martinook
2
1
Martinook
Nash
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Martinook
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Martinook
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Martinook
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,686)
48.7% (4,621)
-2.0%
Power Play
41.3% (63)
51.0% (249)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (403)
44.9% (550)
-5.2%
On power play, Nash has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Martinook is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (767).
Martinook shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Martinook
Nash
Home
46.8% (1,068)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
43.7% (1,084)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Martinook
Nash
P1
45.1%
49.0%
P2
47.7%
47.9%
P3
43.0%
48.0%
OT
38.1%
68.4%
Final 5 min
42.3%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Martinook
48.0%▬
48.0%
45.3%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 07:55 | Offensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 18:20 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | Jordan Martinook |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Martinook |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 17:50 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 5, 2018 | 1 | 13:28 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 11:25 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Jordan Martinook |