Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.2% vs Staal 57.6% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 85.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 57.0%
Neutral zone
Point 67.2%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Point
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Point
Staal
Last 6: Point 1-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Point
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Point
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (582)
58.9% (1,096)
-13.0%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
68.4% (57)
-22.8%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
51.8% (222)
-31.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Point is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Point shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Point
Staal
Home
45.8% (286)
57.0% (646)
Away
45.5% (358)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Point
Staal
P1
45.9%
55.9%
P2
48.8%
55.4%
P3
40.6%
62.0%
OT
62.5%
70.4%
Final 5 min
40.7%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
56.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 14:45 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 05:54 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 02:26 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 15:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |