Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Minten on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.8% vs Staal 54.6% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 68.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 91.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 75.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 74.8%
25.2%
74.8%
Minten
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Minten
Staal
Last 9: Minten 8-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
3
0
Minten
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Minten
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
5
0
Minten
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (651)
56.2% (989)
-6.6%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
66.0% (159)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (45)
42.7% (253)
-7.1%
On power play, Staal has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Minten is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Minten shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Minten
Staal
Home
52.4% (349)
55.4% (699)
Away
45.3% (397)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Minten
Staal
P1
45.4%
55.7%
P2
47.1%
54.7%
P3
52.3%
53.4%
OT
83.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.7%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 05:51 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 02:43 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |