Frederick Gaudreau vs Jordan Staal

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jordan Staal holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Gaudreau 43.9% vs Staal 54.6% (-12.1%)
H2H factor Gaudreau leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone Staal 93.3%
Defensive zone Staal 57.3%
Neutral zone Staal 81.5%
Result Jordan Staal favored at 85.0%
15.0%
85.0%
Gaudreau Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 4 (10 meetings)
6
4
Gaudreau Staal
Last 10: Gaudreau 6-4 Staal

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
Gaudreau Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
1
Gaudreau Staal
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Gaudreau
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
56.2% (989)
-11.3%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
66.0% (159)
-34.2%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
42.7% (253)
-4.7%
On power play, Staal has a +34.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Staal shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Staal
Home
42.6% (277)
55.4% (699)
Away
43.1% (288)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Gaudreau
Staal
P1
44.1%
55.7%
P2
44.7%
54.7%
P3
39.5%
53.4%
OT
0.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
56.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%
42.5%
42.8%
Staal
52.0%
52.5%
54.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 2, 2026 3 18:31 Offensive Jordan Staal
Mar 2, 2026 3 16:48 Offensive Jordan Staal
Mar 2, 2026 3 16:35 Defensive Frederick Gaudreau
Mar 2, 2026 3 00:00 Neutral Frederick Gaudreau
Mar 2, 2026 2 03:22 Neutral Frederick Gaudreau
Mar 2, 2026 2 00:00 Neutral Jordan Staal
Mar 2, 2026 1 13:24 Offensive Jordan Staal
Mar 2, 2026 1 00:00 Neutral Frederick Gaudreau
Jan 10, 2026 1 18:24 Offensive Frederick Gaudreau
Jan 10, 2026 1 15:25 Offensive Frederick Gaudreau