Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Staal 54.6% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 50.8%
Defensive zone
Compher 58.1%
Neutral zone
Compher 60.8%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Compher
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Compher
Staal
Last 6: Compher 1-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Compher
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Compher
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Compher
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (784)
56.2% (989)
-3.1%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
66.0% (159)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (95)
42.7% (253)
-5.9%
On power play, Staal has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Compher is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Compher shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Compher
Staal
Home
51.3% (452)
55.4% (699)
Away
51.5% (458)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Compher
Staal
P1
54.9%
55.7%
P2
49.0%
54.7%
P3
50.6%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |