Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 62.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 60.3% vs Staal 54.6% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 65.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 77.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 69.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 71.2%
28.8%
71.2%
Miller
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Miller
Staal
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
2
Miller
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Miller
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
62.0% (582)
56.2% (989)
+5.8%
Power Play
65.9% (126)
66.0% (159)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (71)
42.7% (253)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Miller is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Miller shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Miller
Staal
Home
63.0% (416)
55.4% (699)
Away
60.1% (363)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Miller
Staal
P1
60.7%
55.7%
P2
63.9%
54.7%
P3
60.2%
53.4%
OT
60.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
64.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 07:28 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |