Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Norris 52.1% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 22-13 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 63.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 84.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 72.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Staal
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
13
(35 meetings)
22
13
Staal
Norris
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
10
2
Staal
Norris
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
6
Staal
Norris
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
10
5
Staal
Norris
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
52.5% (3,089)
+3.4%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
53.4% (412)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
45.4% (240)
+2.5%
On power play, Staal has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Staal shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,419).
Home / Away
Staal
Norris
Home
56.4% (9,699)
53.1% (1,896)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Staal
Norris
P1
55.2%
55.5%
P2
55.9%
51.5%
P3
54.8%
50.1%
OT
56.2%
39.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 16:11 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:45 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 11:59 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 2 | 15:10 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 18:49 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |