Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings). Staal wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Jokinen 54.0% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 23-21 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 70.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 63.7%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 57.1%
Result
Jussi Jokinen favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Staal
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
23
(44 meetings)
21
23
Staal
Jokinen
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
3
10
Staal
Jokinen
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
10
5
Staal
Jokinen
15 total
Neutral Zone
Even
8
8
Staal
Jokinen
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (14,405)
53.8% (1,931)
+2.2%
Power Play
62.6% (1,691)
55.9% (506)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (2,841)
54.5% (279)
-6.4%
On power play, Staal has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Staal is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (12,525).
Staal shoots left. Jokinen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,735).
Home / Away
Staal
Jokinen
Home
56.4% (9,518)
57.8% (1,369)
Away
54.4% (9,484)
50.4% (1,357)
By Period
Staal
Jokinen
P1
55.1%
53.4%
P2
56.0%
54.4%
P3
55.0%
53.7%
OT
55.6%
66.1%
Final 5 min
56.1%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.4%
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 11:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 3 | 14:07 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 03:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 06:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 2 | 09:24 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 00:59 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 16:34 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |