Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Hayes 43.8% (+14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 67.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 75.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 70.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Staal
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Staal
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
42.7% (478)
+16.2%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
42.9% (98)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
45.2% (31)
+3.9%
On even strength, Staal has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Staal
Hayes
Home
59.0% (578)
43.5% (232)
Away
55.9% (707)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Staal
Hayes
P1
57.1%
40.1%
P2
60.9%
44.8%
P3
55.8%
42.4%
OT
20.8%
80.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |