Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 30 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Eller 50.5% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 56-47 in 103 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 75.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 63.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 68.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Staal
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
56
-
47
(103 meetings)
56
47
Staal
Eller
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
19
11
Staal
Eller
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
16
20
Staal
Eller
36 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
21
16
Staal
Eller
37 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
51.1% (10,321)
+4.8%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
52.8% (621)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
46.6% (1,759)
+1.3%
On power play, Staal has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Staal shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Home / Away
Staal
Eller
Home
56.4% (9,699)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Staal
Eller
P1
55.2%
51.2%
P2
55.9%
50.1%
P3
54.8%
50.2%
OT
56.2%
56.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 09:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 17:36 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 11:17 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 09:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:51 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 21, 2023 | OT | 01:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:03 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 14:52 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 01:19 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 3 | 11:19 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 1 | 09:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 1 | 07:47 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |