Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 54.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 83.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Staal
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
15
(24 meetings)
9
15
Staal
Draisaitl
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
8
Staal
Draisaitl
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
1
Staal
Draisaitl
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
6
Staal
Draisaitl
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
55.9% (835)
+0.3%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
61.8% (228)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
50.0% (40)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Home / Away
Staal
Draisaitl
Home
55.4% (699)
55.1% (508)
Away
54.4% (702)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Staal
Draisaitl
P1
55.7%
55.8%
P2
54.7%
55.7%
P3
53.4%
59.0%
OT
70.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 10:40 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 07:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 03:20 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 01:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 00:54 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 03:47 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 15:48 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |