Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 65.0% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Glendening 51.9% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 80.0%
Defensive zone
Glendening 53.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Staal
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Staal
Glendening
Last 5: Staal 4-1 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Glendening
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Glendening
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
53.6% (420)
+2.6%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
100.0% (4)
-34.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
47.3% (148)
-4.6%
On power play, Glendening has a +34.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Staal shoots left. Glendening is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Home / Away
Staal
Glendening
Home
55.4% (699)
48.0% (256)
Away
54.4% (702)
55.7% (316)
By Period
Staal
Glendening
P1
55.7%
50.9%
P2
54.7%
51.7%
P3
53.4%
53.3%
OT
70.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
56.7%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Glendening
56.0%▲
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 18:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |