Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Kunin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Kunin 46.1% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 94.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 93.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 94.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 94.2%
94.2%
5.8%
Staal
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Staal
Kunin
Last 10: Staal 9-1 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Kunin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Kunin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
2
Staal
Kunin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
47.0% (1,667)
+8.9%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
46.0% (139)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
40.3% (335)
+7.6%
On power play, Staal has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,583).
Staal shoots left. Kunin is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,537).
Home / Away
Staal
Kunin
Home
56.4% (9,699)
45.4% (1,075)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
46.4% (1,066)
By Period
Staal
Kunin
P1
55.2%
47.7%
P2
55.9%
45.7%
P3
54.8%
44.1%
OT
56.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 07:20 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 03:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 11:12 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 15:33 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |