Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 65.0% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Barzal 41.9% (+14.6%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 57.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 65.7%
Neutral zone
Barzal 54.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Staal
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
40.9% (469)
+15.3%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
34.2% (38)
+31.8%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
28.6% (7)
+14.1%
On power play, Staal has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Staal shoots left. Barzal is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Staal
Barzal
Home
55.4% (699)
39.2% (250)
Away
54.4% (702)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Staal
Barzal
P1
55.7%
46.3%
P2
54.7%
36.7%
P3
53.4%
38.5%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%