Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Cullen 53.6% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Cullen leads 20-15 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Cullen 58.3%
Defensive zone
Cullen 62.4%
Neutral zone
Cullen 63.5%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Staal
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
20
(35 meetings)
15
20
Staal
Cullen
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
12
10
Staal
Cullen
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
4
Staal
Cullen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
3
6
Staal
Cullen
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (14,405)
54.8% (5,371)
+1.2%
Power Play
62.6% (1,691)
52.3% (421)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (2,841)
48.0% (953)
+0.1%
On power play, Staal has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Staal is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (12,525).
Staal shoots left. Cullen is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,432).
Home / Away
Staal
Cullen
Home
56.4% (9,518)
55.8% (3,288)
Away
54.4% (9,484)
51.6% (3,488)
By Period
Staal
Cullen
P1
55.1%
54.7%
P2
56.0%
52.8%
P3
55.0%
53.3%
OT
55.6%
62.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.4%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 12:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 17:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 11:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 10:19 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |