Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Beniers 48.8% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 76.3%
Defensive zone
Beniers 69.3%
Neutral zone
Beniers 72.4%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 72.4%
27.6%
72.4%
Staal
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Staal
Beniers
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
4
Staal
Beniers
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
6
Staal
Beniers
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
2
Staal
Beniers
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
48.3% (862)
+7.9%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
58.3% (36)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
50.0% (32)
-7.3%
On even strength, Staal has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Beniers is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Home / Away
Staal
Beniers
Home
55.4% (699)
52.4% (460)
Away
54.4% (702)
45.1% (470)
By Period
Staal
Beniers
P1
55.7%
47.5%
P2
54.7%
50.6%
P3
53.4%
47.6%
OT
70.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
56.7%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 16:20 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 06:43 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 06:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 03:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 00:30 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |