Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 27 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Domi 48.8% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 38-29 in 67 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 87.2%
Defensive zone
Domi 73.4%
Neutral zone
Domi 79.5%
Result
Max Domi favored at 81.0%
19.0%
81.0%
Staal
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
38
(67 meetings)
29
38
Staal
Domi
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
6
21
Staal
Domi
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
11
6
Staal
Domi
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
12
11
Staal
Domi
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
48.1% (4,339)
+7.8%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
53.5% (636)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
48.8% (41)
-0.9%
On power play, Staal has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Staal shoots left. Domi is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,370).
Home / Away
Staal
Domi
Home
56.4% (9,699)
49.8% (2,614)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
47.8% (2,402)
By Period
Staal
Domi
P1
55.2%
48.7%
P2
55.9%
48.3%
P3
54.8%
49.7%
OT
56.2%
43.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 17:40 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:13 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:12 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 14:04 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 12:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 18:43 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 16:22 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | Max Domi |