Jordan Staal vs Michael Rasmussen
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Rasmussen 47.8% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 52.0%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 52.6%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 51.0%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Staal
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Staal
Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Rasmussen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
2
Staal
Rasmussen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Rasmussen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
46.8% (248)
+9.4%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
62.5% (8)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
43.8% (16)
-1.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Rasmussen is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Staal
Rasmussen
Home
55.4% (699)
50.0% (98)
Away
54.4% (702)
45.4% (174)
By Period
Staal
Rasmussen
P1
55.7%
40.2%
P2
54.7%
55.8%
P3
53.4%
43.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 03:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |