Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Kadri 46.9% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 59.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 90.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 78.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Staal
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Staal
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
46.5% (866)
+9.7%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
48.8% (86)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
38.5% (13)
+4.2%
On power play, Staal has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Kadri is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Staal
Kadri
Home
55.4% (699)
45.8% (513)
Away
54.4% (702)
47.6% (452)
By Period
Staal
Kadri
P1
55.7%
52.4%
P2
54.7%
48.5%
P3
53.4%
39.7%
OT
70.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.7%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |