Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 65.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.1% vs Dowd 49.8% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 75.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 66.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 73.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Staal
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Staal
Dowd
Last 6: Staal 4-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (943)
50.7% (379)
+3.5%
Power Play
69.6% (79)
64.3% (14)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (262)
46.5% (157)
+4.3%
On power play, Staal has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (452).
Staal shoots left. Dowd is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Staal
Dowd
Home
55.0% (593)
53.7% (244)
Away
54.0% (691)
46.6% (307)
By Period
Staal
Dowd
P1
54.3%
53.6%
P2
53.5%
44.1%
P3
55.2%
51.9%
Final 5 min
55.4%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.4%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2020 | 2 | 11:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 09:53 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |