Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Foligno 48.6% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 26-22 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 56.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 83.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 73.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Staal
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
22
(48 meetings)
26
22
Staal
Foligno
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
8
11
Staal
Foligno
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
12
3
Staal
Foligno
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
6
8
Staal
Foligno
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
48.3% (2,840)
+7.6%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
52.3% (731)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
44.0% (457)
+3.9%
On power play, Staal has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Staal shoots left. Foligno is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,512).
Home / Away
Staal
Foligno
Home
56.4% (9,699)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
47.2% (2,017)
By Period
Staal
Foligno
P1
55.2%
47.8%
P2
55.9%
50.5%
P3
54.8%
48.2%
OT
56.2%
29.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 20, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 06:36 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 19:08 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 04:34 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |