Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 54.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Sturm 53.6% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
Staal 67.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 64.2%
Neutral zone
Sturm 53.8%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Staal
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
54.6% (271)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
54.4% (90)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Staal
Sturm
Home
55.4% (699)
53.0% (168)
Away
54.4% (702)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Staal
Sturm
P1
55.7%
58.2%
P2
54.7%
53.2%
P3
53.4%
52.3%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%