Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Aman shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Aman 41.1% (+15.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 90.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 89.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 90.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 90.3%
90.3%
9.7%
Staal
Aman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Staal
Aman
Last 7: Staal 5-2 Aman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Aman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Aman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Aman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Aman
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
40.2% (664)
+15.7%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
33.3% (9)
+29.4%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
34.3% (35)
+13.6%
On power play, Staal has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aman shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Staal shoots left. Aman is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Staal
Aman
Home
56.4% (9,699)
39.6% (341)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
40.1% (367)
By Period
Staal
Aman
P1
55.2%
41.9%
P2
55.9%
42.1%
P3
54.8%
35.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
36.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Aman
38.0%▼
40.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Nils Aman |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 00:57 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 13:13 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 02:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 01:58 | Neutral | Nils Aman |