Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Staal wins 65.0% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Acciari 50.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 94.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 50.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 75.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Staal
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Staal
Acciari
Last 10: Staal 9-1 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
0
Staal
Acciari
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Staal
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
52.7% (313)
+3.5%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
33.3% (18)
+32.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
49.7% (195)
-7.0%
On power play, Staal has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Staal shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Staal
Acciari
Home
55.4% (699)
52.6% (291)
Away
54.4% (702)
48.9% (235)
By Period
Staal
Acciari
P1
55.7%
53.7%
P2
54.7%
51.1%
P3
53.4%
48.5%
OT
70.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
56.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 12:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | OT | 02:48 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 09:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |