Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 17 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Acciari 51.2% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 27-10 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 95.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 64.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 83.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
Staal
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
10
(37 meetings)
27
10
Staal
Acciari
Last 10: Staal 9-1 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
16
1
Staal
Acciari
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
8
Staal
Acciari
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
9
1
Staal
Acciari
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
52.8% (3,304)
+3.1%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
48.3% (87)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
47.0% (1,073)
+0.9%
On power play, Staal has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,583).
Staal shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,268).
Home / Away
Staal
Acciari
Home
56.4% (9,699)
51.9% (2,139)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
50.7% (2,325)
By Period
Staal
Acciari
P1
55.2%
52.3%
P2
55.9%
51.5%
P3
54.8%
50.2%
OT
56.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 12:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | OT | 02:48 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 09:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 14:43 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 16:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |