Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Krebs 45.4% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 70.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 70.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 70.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Staal
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Staal
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Krebs
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
44.4% (403)
+11.8%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
33.3% (6)
+32.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
45.0% (20)
-2.3%
On power play, Staal has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Krebs is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Staal
Krebs
Home
55.4% (699)
46.3% (205)
Away
54.4% (702)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Staal
Krebs
P1
55.7%
47.0%
P2
54.7%
45.4%
P3
53.4%
40.7%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |